Nobody Can Predict How AI Will Be Used. Congress Shouldn’t Pretend Otherwise.

Every generation embarks on a path where no footprints yet exist.

In 1950, no one predicted the internet; in 1990, no one foresaw the smartphone. By rushing to regulate artificial intelligence, Congress pretends that it can predict the unpredictable, threatening to suppress a generation-defining tool before we even understand its full potential.

The immediate focus of this political anxiety is the Senate’s GUARD Act. The legislation is a reaction to the concern among some parents that their children may form unhealthy attachments to chatbots and AI companions.

Polygonal brain shape of an artificial intelligence with various icon of smart city Internet of Things Technology over Asian young Student in casual suit reading the book in library of university

These concerns exist because some AI products are designed to maximize the amount of time that people spend on their platforms. For an adolescent, these “engagement loops” could potentially blur the line between relationship and tool. 

However, because the legislation relies on a definition for “AI companion” so broad that it could potentially encompass general-purpose tools like ChatGPT, the GUARD Act functions as a rigid federal mandate that completely cuts parents out of the equation. 

A determined teenager can find ways around digital barriers in a few days, which is precisely why this ban would be similar, in effect, to gun control. When the legal purchase of firearms is restricted and the law-abiding comply, the only people who are left with weapons are those willing to break the law.

Age verification for AI presents a similar dilemma. By categorically denying access, well-adjusted youth lose access to a useful tool and world of information, whereas higher risk individuals are likely to find ways around the verification requirements.

Technological innovation relies on the butterfly effect, where a tiny action today can ripple into a massive consequence much later. The theory, popularized in Jurassic Park, posits that a butterfly flapping its wings in China can set off a tornado in Texas. Similarly, it is not outside of the realm of possibility that a 14-year-old playing with an AI tool today could create the next world-changing technological breakthrough at 27. 

In Outliers, Malcolm Gladwell traces Microsoft’s origin to this exact dynamic. Bill Gates had early access to a computer, allowing him to log thousands of hours of programming before anyone knew that the skill would matter.

Young people are already using AI to unlock a world of information. One study found that 54% of teens have used AI for coursework and another found that 86% of students worldwide use it in their studies. By stifling that early curiosity, we kill the butterfly before it can ever flap its wings.

A wondrous future cannot be built on a foundation of fear. The solution to the digital future is not a strict federal ban, but to instead leave that decision to the parents who know their children best.

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About the author

Kristian Fors

Kristian Fors is the Technology and Innovation Policy Analyst at Libertas Institute. He previously worked as a research fellow for the Independent Institute, where his research focused on California public policy. Prior to that, he also worked as an intern for the United Nations Development Program in Denmark and as an English teacher at private schools in Russia. He received his bachelor’s degree from Utah State University and holds master’s degrees from the Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO) and the London School of Economics. Kristian is originally from California, but his family’s history traces back to the founding of Utah—a legacy that inspires his commitment to policies that help the state remain competitive and continue to thrive. Outside of his policy work, Kristian is interested in financial markets, traveling, and exploring other cultures. He is fluent in both Swedish and Russian.

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